Published: December 2, 2024
India’s stunning 295-run victory against Australia in the Perth Test has significantly bolstered their chances of qualifying for the ICC World Test Championship (WTC) Final. With this win, India surged to the top of the WTC standings, displacing Australia to third place, while South Africa moved up to second after a home victory against Sri Lanka. However, the race for the top two spots remains highly competitive, with India, Australia, South Africa, New Zealand, and Sri Lanka all in contention.
While the Perth win lays a strong foundation, Rohit Sharma’s team must deliver consistent results in the remaining matches of the Border-Gavaskar series to secure a spot in the WTC Final. Here are the qualification scenarios for India as they chase a berth in the title-decider:
India’s WTC Qualification Scenarios
Scenario 1: Dominant Series Win
- India beat Australia 5-0, 4-1, 4-0, or 3-0
India would qualify outright with these comprehensive scorelines, ensuring their spot without depending on other results. This outcome would almost certainly eliminate Australia from the race.
Scenario 2: India Win 3-1
- India qualifies if South Africa do not win the second Test of their series against Sri Lanka.
- However, if South Africa triumphs and Sri Lanka loses, India would be eliminated. Even a draw between South Africa and Sri Lanka in that match would suffice for India’s qualification.
Scenario 3: India Win 3-2
- India’s qualification hinges on Sri Lanka securing at least a draw in their upcoming two-match Test series against Australia (starting January 29).
Scenario 4: Series Draw 2-2
- If the series ends in a draw, India’s chances diminish further.
- In this case, South Africa must complete a 2-0 sweep against Sri Lanka, followed by Sri Lanka defeating Australia in their Test series to open up a chance for India.
Current Standings and Key Matches Ahead
India’s stronghold at the top of the table faces intense competition from South Africa and Australia, while New Zealand and Sri Lanka remain dark horses. Upcoming fixtures, particularly the remaining Border-Gavaskar Tests and Sri Lanka’s series against Australia, will play a pivotal role in shaping the WTC points table.
India’s victory in Perth demonstrates their resilience, but the road ahead is filled with challenges. Every match will count as the WTC Final qualification race heats up.
Stay tuned to the Board of Sports in India (BOSI) for live updates, analysis, and match results as the WTC race continues to unfold.
